This morning, as most of you already know, the Supreme Court ruled that the Privacy Protection and Affordable Care Act (commonly known as ACA) is constitutional and basically left the entire law intact. While it was no surprise that this was a close 5-4 decision, it was surprising that rather than rule that certain sections of the law were unconstitutional (e.g., the individual mandate), it was either an all-in or all-out dividing line (those in dissent would have thrown the entire law out the window). In fact, among our esteemed and we like to think highly knowledgeable readers, two-thirds voted in our prediction poll that ACA would be circumscribed by the Supreme Court while 17% felt the law would be upheld in its entirety.
Implications of Decision:
We are an analyst firm that is focused on the adoption and use of healthcare IT. Thus the implications of the Supreme Court decision which follow are focused on just that:
Healthcare systems will continue to aggressively move forward to form comprehensive care delivery systems (acquiring practices, long-term care facilities, etc.) to more effectively manage their patient populations across care settings. This will in turn require greater clinical connectivity and integration across these care settings. Expect to see very strong demand for health information exchanges.
Payers will continue to struggle with improving their operating margins. Some, such as United Health Group and Aetna, have ventured into the more lucrative and higher margin HIT market via acquisitions. Expect to see other payers make a move here as well jumping into the HIT market via acquisition(s).
Payers will also venture directly into care delivery via partnerships with large providers to stand-up ACO-like entities (e.g., Blue Cross of CA & Dignity Health) or acquire (e.g., Highmark and West Allegheny). We may also see some payers be quite innovative and begin providing more state-of-the-art, low cost concierge care services such as One Medical to serve the vast pool of some 30M+ new members nationwide.
To effectively and efficiently survive under future bundled care reimbursement models, hospital systems will finally have to get truly serious about patient engagement. No longer can they view this as just something for the marketing department to deal with (listen to yesterday’s podcast) but will need to actively engage with patients and aggressively encourage self-management of chronic diseases. This need will lead to a blossoming of innovation in new solutions, be they mobile, telehealth, whatever you want to call it to improve patient adherence outside of the clinical setting.
Got Analytics? Yes, analytics is going to be huge but today, most analytics solutions are not up to the task of serving all healthcare provider needs, or at least no single solution/vendor is. Providers will need to accept the fact that for the foreseeable future they’ll be purchasing best-of-breed solutions. But providers also need to do their homework as we predict that there will be a significant amount of consolidation, via acquisition, in this market over the next five years. And one last word of advice to providers, don’t count on your EHR vendor to deliver these solutions anytime soon.
Of course there is far more that we could delve into on the implications of this ruling to the HIT market but for now believe we have provided enough to get your collective juices flowing. Is there anything we missed that you believe is screaming out loud in the HIT market due to this decision? If so, please let us know via a comment – we love comments!
In closing, hope all have a great July 4th week ahead and…
God Bless America